Pulp prices set to peak in 2014
Calejo Pulp Futures predicted, with very good timing, the fateful
financial crisis in 2009. And when most other market analysts last
autumn indicated continuing high levels of pulp prices, Calejo turned
to the Swedish and international media to warn of a new trend reversal
during late summer 2011 with declining pulp prices – which actually
occurred. This was an insight that Calejo’s customers had already
possessed for more than two years.
Now a trend reversal upward is predicted and highly favorable times for
pulp mills, with record-high prices for NBSK toward the close of 2013
and into 2014. Prices are forecast to reach well over USD 1,000 per
ton.
Calejo’s forecast model is unique and is on the absolute leading edge
technologically. It is based on an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and
is self-learning on the basis of the historical statistics used. The
accuracy, meaning the ability to forecast trend reversals and price
trends two years ahead, has historically been 86 percent.